Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Clear evidence emerges, Hispanics now voting strictly on race

Study finds racial bias against white candidates among Latinos

Via the Houston Chronicle, "Did Ted Cruz do better in Latino areas than other Republicans?":
Some of Paul Sadler’s dropoff in votes from President Obama can be attributed to the usual downballot effect, but clearly Cruz outperformed Romney, and given his higher vote totals there had to be some Obama/Cruz voters in each of these counties. In fact, if you look at all of the counties in Texas where Cruz received more votes than Romney, you get the following list: Webb, Cameron, Ellis, Hidalgo, Maverick, Willacy, Starr, Zapata, Zavala, Dimmit, Kleberg, Jim Hogg, Brooks, Jim Wells, Frio, Culberson. So yes, he did do better in heavily Latino areas, and I’m sure I’ll find the same effect in Harris County when I get precinct data.

There’s a bit more to this, however. It wasn’t just Cruz who benefited from being Latino and having a non-Latino opponent in these counties. For example, the Libertarian candidate running against Railroad Commissioner Barry Smitherman was a Latino. Take a look at how he did versus how other non-Latino Libertarians did in statewide races where the Republican had no Democratic opponent. Here’s Cameron County, for example.

Railroad Commissioner - Unexpired Term

Barry Smitherman REP 25,866 48.72%

Jaime O. Perez LIB 23,875 44.97%

Josh Wendel GRN 3,347 6.30%

Justice, Supreme Court, Place 2

Don Willett REP 32,963 62.76%

Roberto Koelsch LIB 19,555 37.23%

Justice, Supreme Court, Place 4

John Devine REP 30,797 58.42%

Tom Oxford LIB 17,212 32.65%

Charles Waterbury GRN 4,707 8.92%


Gary said...

And that is why Marco Rubio should have been VP.

Chuck said...