Gains 8 points in one week
From Eric Dondero:
Here it is. From the much respected, near legendary WMUR TV in Manchester (
pdf.).
Mitt Romney has closed the gap with Barack Obama in the Granite State, and the two are now locked in a dead heat. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 47% of likely New Hampshire voters say they will vote for Obama, 47% say they will vote for Romney, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 4% are undecided.
502 voter contacts. Included both land line and cell phone users.
And further:
When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, Obama and Romney remain tied, with 48% for Obama, 48% for Romney, 2% for some other candidate, and 3% remain undecided. Obama has lost considerable support since 2008 as only 87% of 2008 Obama voters say they will vote for him this time while 94% of McCain voters say they will vote for Romney.
So, an indication that Libertarian Gary Johnson is polling most likely 1 to 2%.
Most important takeaway, obviously, is that Mitt's got the momentum. And pretty significant momentum in fact.
Exit question - And Maine's CD 2? Most experts say that Maine's 2nd (northern and western Maine) corresponds virtually identical to New Hampshire. A bonus electoral vote for Team Romney?
2 comments:
How the hell can Obama be ahead in New Hampshire. That makes no sense. Did half the people from Vermont move there?
Jim, as good as WMUR is, they're still a lib-leaning media outlet.
Most important is the trend line. Follow that link to the pdf graph. It's un-fuckin'-believable. Romney pulls way up in the last week.
Real sign of momentum which no doubt extends nationwide.
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