Saturday, November 3, 2012

BOOM!! Late night WMUR poll from New Hampshire - Romney pulls into a tie with Obama

Gains 8 points in one week

From Eric Dondero:

Here it is. From the much respected, near legendary WMUR TV in Manchester (pdf.).
Mitt Romney has closed the gap with Barack Obama in the Granite State, and the two are now locked in a dead heat. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 47% of likely New Hampshire voters say they will vote for Obama, 47% say they will vote for Romney, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 4% are undecided.
502 voter contacts. Included both land line and cell phone users.

And further:
When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, Obama and Romney remain tied, with 48% for Obama, 48% for Romney, 2% for some other candidate, and 3% remain undecided. Obama has lost considerable support since 2008 as only 87% of 2008 Obama voters say they will vote for him this time while 94% of McCain voters say they will vote for Romney.
So, an indication that Libertarian Gary Johnson is polling most likely 1 to 2%.

Most important takeaway, obviously, is that Mitt's got the momentum. And pretty significant momentum in fact.

Exit question - And Maine's CD 2? Most experts say that Maine's 2nd (northern and western Maine) corresponds virtually identical to New Hampshire. A bonus electoral vote for Team Romney?

2 comments:

The Right Guy said...

How the hell can Obama be ahead in New Hampshire. That makes no sense. Did half the people from Vermont move there?

Eric Dondero said...

Jim, as good as WMUR is, they're still a lib-leaning media outlet.

Most important is the trend line. Follow that link to the pdf graph. It's un-fuckin'-believable. Romney pulls way up in the last week.

Real sign of momentum which no doubt extends nationwide.