All except New HampshireFrom Eric Dondero:
Remember all the headlines after Obama's victory in 2008: "Republican Party dead in New England."
A new poll was released on Thursday with surprising results. The liberal-leaning Public Policy Project (
PPP), has Republican Tom Foley moving ahead of Democrat Dan Malloy by a hair:
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Connecticut finds there has been a huge movement in the race for governor... the race is now a toss up, with Tom Foley (R) inching ahead of Dan Malloy (D), 49% to 47%.
Malloy has led consistently since the primaries, and with comfortable margins. If Foley squeeks it out, that will keep Connecticut in the GOP column.
Up in Vermont, a recent poll by left-leaning
Vermont Public Radio had Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie up by 1 point, over Democrat Peter Shumlin. Though, a crowded ballot including 5 other third party candidates could make for a long election night.
LePage up Big in Maine, Baker closing in Mass
In Maine, Tea Party Republican Paul LePage has a comfortable lead of 10 to 12 points in two recent polls, over liberal Democrat Libby Mitchell, and liberal-centrist Independent Elliot Cutler. Mitchell is in the fight of her life to keep second place, ahead of Cutler by only 3 points, 22 to 19.
In Rhode Island, it's increasingly apparent that Independent Lincoln Chafee will be the next Governor. He leads his Republican opponent John Robataille, in second place by 7 points respectively. The Democrat is lagging behind in 3rd.
And then there's Massachusetts. This is arguably the most important race in the region. The liberal Boston Globe this morning describes "dizzying poll numbers," one week incumbent Obama Democrat Deval Patrick up, the next Charlie Baker by two to three points. From
Boston.com, "Up and down ballot, GOP is dreaming Big":

Not since 1990, when fiscal and political chaos gripped Beacon Hill, has such potential existed for major Republican gains up and down the ticket. For the first time in years, the party is making spirited challenges for statewide constitutional offices, several of the state’s 10 congressional seats, and in dozens of legislative districts.
From
NECN (Comcast), Latest polls show race getting closer" Oct. 24:
The Boston Globe poll gives incumbent governor Deval Patrick a 4-point lead over Republican Charlie Baker. About 43% of likely voters say they plan to support Patrick on election day, and 39% say they plan to support baker. Independent Tim Cahill is in third place with 8%, and Green-Rainbow candidate Jill Stein received 2%.
Only in New Hampshire, do the Democrats appear to be secure, with incumbent Governor John Lynch over Tea Partyer John Stephen by 8 to 10 points in various polls. This despite a virtual blow-out for Republicans over Democrats in virtually every other major NH race including of course, US Senator with Kelly Ayotte, Congress CD1 with Frank Guinta, and most recently Charlie Bass taking a slight lead for Congress CD2.
New England Republicans, some good, some not-so-good for libertarians
New England Republicans for Governor are a mixed-bag for libertarian voters. Paul LePage is without doubt the most libertarian of the bunch. A tax-cutting Tea Partyer he has close ties to Maine libertarians, including the Republican Liberty Caucus. LePage is Pro-Casino gambling. He also supports legalized Medicinal Marijuana (
MaineWebNews).
Charlie Baker leans libertarian, fiscally conservative yet socially moderate. He is friends with longtime libertarian Republican State Senator Bob Hedlund of Weymouth. Baker has the strong backing of Boston's legendary libertarian radio talk show host Howie Carr.
Next up, young brash John Stephens of NH leans Tea Party, but is behind in the polls.
The Rhode Island Libertarian Party (
LPRI), which includes many dual-party Republican activists, recently put out a press release urging None of the Above, saying that not one of the four candidates for Governor is worthy of support. They have endorsed Robert Healy for Lt. Governor, who wants to abolish the office. (Source:
Brown Daily Herald)
Vermont's Brian Dubie is not at all libertarian; a fiscal moderate and social conservative who is on record against legalizing marijuana.
Tom Malloy (photo with family) is a business leader, His
website promotes "reliance on the private sector and free markets." But he's generally considered well within the traditions of CT Republicans of fiscal moderation.
Reporting from New England... Very likely to be at the Paul LePage victory party in Maine on Tuesday night.