by Clifford F. ThiesAs I count it, including holdovers, Republicans are now looking at 47 Senators ... all current seats plus AR, CO, IN, ND, PA and WI. There are five remaining toss-up seats: CT, IL, NV, WA and WV. CA is a possibility. And, then there's DE.
RealClear still has Colorado in the toss-up category. This is because they're including a poll that is now a month old in their average. Things are changing in Colorado. We are moving past the post-primary disarray and resolving the mess in the race for Governor. Move this state to "Leans Republican."
Of the five toss-up's, I thinking most positively about IL and NV and then WV. In IL, we've got a strong Republican slate and a re-energized party. It's getting too late for the Obomber to turn on the magic. I'm thinking Kirk's slight lead is going to hold up.
NV should be ours. We're blowing away Son of Hairy in the Governor contest. The time is now to rally around our candidate. Way to go Dennis Miller. That's 49.
As I was saying way back during the summer, WV could be Number 50. The state is trending Republican in Presidential elections. We have good candidates in the Congressionals. And, our guy in the Senate race is - so far - succeeding in tying Governor Munchkin to the Democratic agenda. Maybe Munchkin can bring in Obomber to rally the Democratic base. WE HOPE!
We have some other irons in the fire. But, I'm now going to jump to DE. Our gal is far behind in this one. But, she's not hurting for dough. This is what usually kills the chances of someone far behind from making a comeback. The powers that be allocate money amongst their better possibilities and cut-off those with the odds against them. But, Christine O'Donnell has been riding a magic carpet this year, defying the odds with Tea Party enthusiasm. The Democrats don't think DE is a done deal. They're putting money into this state.
Why winning DE is important?
Assuming the Democrats lose the House and the Senate, they will have only two months left to do whatever they're going to do to spend every dime the U.S. government can borrow from foreigners or print up, to rob and steal what we own, to advance their multi-cultural agenda, and to regulate our economy in the name of climate change. It's called a lame-duck session of Congress. They plan to get together, after they're defeated, to pass whatever they can while they're still in control.
BUT...we have a plan. The winners of five Senate races will take office immediately upon being certified: IL and DE, to fill out the terms of President Obama and Vice President Biden; NY, to fill out the term of Secretary of State Clinton; CO, to fill out the term of Secretary of the Interior Salazar; and, WV, to fill out the term of the late Senator Robert Byrd. Although we can't immediately take over the Senate, we can dramatically change the tenor of that chamber with victories in these particular races on election day. This means we would be able to filibuster radical legislation during a lame-duck session of Congress. This is why DE is so important. If Christine O'Donnell can turn things around - and she has enough funding to do this - she can be instrumental in saving the Republic from the dying hands of the Democrats.
Dr. Thies is a professor of econo-metrics and statistics at the economics dept. of Shenandoah Univ. in Virginia.
3 comments:
"The difference between the Republican and Democratic parties is that, if the Democrats proposed burning down the White House, the Republicans would immediately counter with a measure to phase it in over three years."
- - - Senator Malcolm Wallop (Republican - Wyoming)
Divided government is good, but show me ANYTHING where the GOP plans to abolish the centralized Big Brother state.
ANYTHING!
The GOP protects, defends, expands and funds every Federal program from the Square Deal to the Bush "No Child Left Behind" and Medicare expansion.
Prove me wrong guys. Ain't nothin gonna change. With the GOP Marxism will crawl instead of run. I guess that is something at least.
Gary,
Delay is the essence of warfare. We will have a year or 18 months to evaluate the new guys and see if we can figure out what to do next.
I have not yet begun to fight.
Or
I might sink but I will never strike.
Gee... Gary has a point. There's a website - indeed, and entire political phenomenon - dedicated to solving GOP errors. Try this link: Libertarian Republican.
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