Tuesday, September 30, 2014

NORTH CAROLINA: GOP ad connects the dots

Kay Hagan = Barack Obama = lax on the war the terrorists are waging on us 

From Clifford Thies: 

Hagan is ahead in the polls by a few votes, she and her outside groups are tremendously outspending Tillis, the Libertarian is pulling high single digits, but … this remains a winnable race. Time to nationalize the race - national security, a vibrant economy, amnesty, Obamacare - and time to get our voters to the polls.

Two encouraging polls for the GOP in House races - Massachusetts and Virginia


Tisei ahead by 2 in northeast Mass district

From Eric Dondero: 

Many believed Richard Tisei took a heavy blow a few weeks ago, when longtime incumbent and scandal-ridden Congressman lost his Democrat primary to an upstart young Democrat, and Iraq War Veteran Seth Moulton. A poll came out a week after the primary showing Moulton ahead of fiscally conservative/socially tolerant gay Republican Tisei by a substantial 8 points. 

Now this, from Emerson College:
The road to Capitol Hill will not be an easy one for Democrat and political newcomer Seth Moulton. After shocking the political establishment by knocking out 18 year Democratic incumbent John Tierney in the Massachusetts 6th Congressional district in the Democratic primary he now finds himself trailing Republican Richard Tisei by 2- points (41% to 39%) in the latest Emerson College Polling Society (ECPS) survey. 
This is a significant improvement for Tisei, who trailed Moulton 44% to 36% in an ECPS poll published shortly before the primaryearlier in September. An “enthusiasm gap” is growing between the candidates, 50% of Tisei supporters said they were very enthusiastic about the race, as compared to 34% of Moulton supporters. (Emphasis added.)
There are 8 House seats in Massachusetts. Every one of them is held by the Democrats. Tisei's race is extremely important for future GOP fortunes in New England. 

VIRGINIA 

And another extremely important House race. The Hill reports:
VA-10 (OPEN): Virginia Del. Barbara Comstock (R) leads Fairfax County Supervisor John Foust (D) 41 percent to 39 percent in a new poll conducted by Democratic firm Victoria Research for the Democratic House Majority PAC.
This is prime northern Virginia Democrat-leaning territory. Obviously it would be much better if Comstock had higher numbers than 41. But the fact that a Democrat polling firm can't show their candidate ahead, is quite encouraging at this late stage.

LA State Senator Elbert Guillory cuts an ad blasting Mary Landrieu: Dem Senator ignores black community back home

From Eric Dondero: 

Just breaking... We won't spoil it for you. Just click. 

One note, libertarian Republicans will be most pleased with an appearance by a well-known libertarian economist about 1 minute in.

No, it's not our own libertarian economist Dr. Clifford Thies.

Curious development in Georgia: Hispanics going for Republican candidates by comfortable margins over Dems

A hint "family and religious issues" a part of the equation 

From Eric Dondero:

Ay, yay, yay... this is going to send Democrat heads spinning.  It crushes all their models. 

From 11Alive Atlanta, "Hispanic voter buck assumptions, back GA GOP candidates":
But the assumption that Hispanic voters will support Democrats may be flawed, according to an 11Alive News poll released last week. The poll showed the race for governor between Democrat Jason Carter and Republican Nathan Deal to be neck-and-neck. 
But the poll showed Hispanic voters backing Gov. Deal 40 to 29 percent. Same thing in the senate race. Hispanic voters surveyed backed Republican David Perdue 44 percent to 32 percent for Democrat Michelle Nunn, The poll of 550 voters sampled fewer than 40 Hispanic voters, proportionate to the amount of expected Hispanic voter turnout.  (Emphasis added.)
"We tend to vote more for candidate than party," said Antonio Molina, chairman of the Georgia Democratic Party's Latino Caucus. But Molina concedes that GOP family and religious issues appeal to many Hispanic voters.
Editor's note - Ouch! Is that a typo in the headline from 11Alive? Shouldn't that be "Hispanic voter(s)"? More affirmative action hiring of foreign interns in newsrooms, no doubt.

New Mitch McConnell ad hits Kentucky airwaves: Senator brought little girl back home to her Mom

From Eric Dondero: 

This ought to seal the election for McConnell. Pulls at the heart strings for sure. 

Chris Cilliza at WaPo writes, "This is the ad that Mitch McConnell thinks is going to get him reelected":
siteintellgroup.com
The words "I can't even talking about him without getting emotional" are not ones that have ever been uttered about McConnell. 
That Hunter tears up herself while re-telling the story and then adds that McConnell was at the airport with her when Muna was returned to her mother -- a photo is shown of the trio -- makes it all the more powerful. 
The ad humanizes McConnell in a way that I, at least, thought was impossible... No matter how negative a campaign is -- and this one has been very nasty for a very long time -- the final ads that campaigns usually run are positive in hopes of leaving a not-so-terrible taste in voters' mouths. That McConnell is turning to such a feel-good ad this far out suggests a) the campaign likes where it is and b) the campaign is well-financed enough to dual-track positive and negative ads. T 
he three major election models all give McConnell a major edge -- with his probability of winning ranging from 85 percent to 99 percent.
Editor's comment -  No mention in the ad that Mali is an overwhelmingly Muslim nation. Why in the hell did she marry the guy in the first place? Isn't there a lesson here for American women? Never, ever marry a Muslim man, most especially one from a foreign country.

Two Polls in last 24 hours show Republican Charlie Baker ahead of Mah-tha' Coakley in Mass-A-chuuusetts

From Eric Dondero: 

First up YouGov in cooperation with WBZ and UMass: Likely Voters:
Charlie Baker - 46% 
Martha Coakley - 45% 
Other candidates - 7% 
Unsure - 2%
And this from MassLive,

With hours until Springfield gubernatorial debate, poll shows Republican Charlie Baker, Democrat Martha Coakley in dead heat

With just hours until the five candidates running for governor of Massachusetts debate in Springfield, a poll from one of the city's most prominent universities is showing a dead heat between the Democratic and Republican challengers. 
The GOP gubernatorial nominee Charlie Baker and Democrat Martha Coakley are nearly tied with only five weeks until election day, as a Western New England University poll shows Baker pulling support from 44 percent of likely voters and Coakley pulling support from 43 percent. 
The survey of 416 likely voters conducted from Sept. 20 to 28.

CONNECTICUT! "Latina Hottie" Tita Ayala charged with 19 counts of Voter Fraud

h/t New Haven Register
UPDATE! H/t Thomas L. Knapp

From the NewHavenRegister:
State Rep. Christina “Tita” Ayala, D-Bridgeport, was arrested Friday on 19 voting fraud charges. 
Ayala, 31, is accused of voting in local and state elections in districts she did not live, the Chief State’s Attorney’s Office said in a press release. 
The arrest warrant affidavit also alleges Ayala provided fabricated evidence to state Election Enforcement Commission investigators that showed she lived at an address in a district where she voted while actually living outside the district, according to the release.
Post Bumped, Background, June 2014:

Allegations she voted at an address 9 different times, where she did not legally reside 

From Eric Dondero: 

Pretty bad when even the Chairman of the State Democrat Party is calling for her to resign. 

From the Ctpost, "Possible felonies cited for Rep. Christina Ayala":
Christina Ayala also wouldn't talk about the state panel's recommendation that her mother, Democratic Registrar of Voters Santa Ayala, be criminally investigated for fraud and conspiracy for allowing her daughter to use a false address on Noble Avenue as her place of residence between 2009 and 2013. 
The investigation revealed evidence that Santa Ayala knew of and may have cooperated in the fraud. 
Ayala, a Democrat, allegedly listed an address where she did not live when applying for the Citizens Election Program, which provides campaign money for candidates who reach threshold limits of no more than $100 per contribution. An elections commission investigation found that Ayala voted in nine different elections using that address, when she actually resided elsewhere. 
"There is evidence that she ran for elected office twice from this false address during the period, including for the office she currently holds," said the report of a commission attorney. 
"There is evidence that she also applied for funds from the Citizens' Election Program using this false address. Additionally, the investigation revealed evidence that Representative Ayala fabricated evidence in response to this investigation, with the intent of misleading Commission staff."
Hot Latina has a history of run-ins with the law 

There have been allegations against the State Rep. that she recently got into a nasty "bar brawl" and a slew of misdemeanor arrests for domestic disturbances involving her troublesome boyfriend.  

And this very juicy tidbit on the Puerto Rican legislators, from Capitol Watch:
Wednesday’s referral has nothing to do with other legal problems that have put Ayala in the headlines, including her arrest in what police described as a hit-and-run traffic accident in August of 2012.
Editor's comment - Rather curious that state and local Democrats have moved so swiftly against her, calling for her resignation, removing her from legislative committees. Are they worried perhaps of a wider scandal involving other Bridgeport area Democrats? 

Oh, silly us.  Did we forget to mention that her cousin Andres Ayala (photo), who used to sit in the state rep. seat that she now holds, is a powerful Democrat State Senator? (Emphasis gleefully added.)

Monday, September 29, 2014

Whoa! Is this even legal? Dem Senator funding ad for Rhode Island candidate for Governor

From Eric Dondero: 

Note the tag line. Democrat Senator Jack Reed "and I approved this message too." He's got a token Republican opponent on the ballot, so he runs a full ad for his Democrat partner paid with his campaign funds. 

Raimondo's opponent is Republican Allan Fung, major of Cranston. 

H/t - Mendoz, Hedgehog